Thursday, November 6, 2008

Hear no Evil

Had a brief (very brief) discussion with my coworkers at the Fed Gov ranch. I made the mistake of saying that folks in the government had better look at what has happened in the past and make allowances for what will probably happen in the future.

The way that I see it, if one uses past situations as a template, whenever the government gets in over it's head financially, the following occurs:

  1. Step 1: Hiring Freeze. This usually occurs about 1 year after the government realizes that it screwed up..So this should be happening around fourth quarter 2009.
  2. Step 2: A year of flailing around fruitlessly, at the end of which they offer early out retirements to reduce headcount. Lets say around first of the year 2011.
  3. Step 3: A year or so of threatened reductions in force (RIF) to send the weak scurrying for the exits, followed by RIF at the end of the year. So in this timeline the government will be laying off beginning 2012.
Needless to say, this went over like a turd in a punchbowl.

The consensus was that I was mad, no one wanted to believe for a minute that they, invulnerable Fed employees, would ever be subjected to such treatment.

I won't ever mention again that fed workers are constrained by the same laws of economics as the rest of the world. It would appear that such talk is simply in bad taste.

1 comment:

irishdutchuncle said...

your assesment is right on. the timeline may start even earlier. (the reagan hiring freeze began before he'd left the podium)

i was offered an early out by the postal circus back around september. if i'd had a paid for retreat and some savings, i would have been gone so fast... but i'll try to serve out the remainder of my sentance. already lived through one RIF/base closure, back in '95. (darn "peace dividend") (i swore to myself i'd never work for uncle again) (my parole lasted almost 3 years)

if they can't induce the weak to leave voluntarily, they will try to fire whomever they can. (they always prey on the weak, it's their natural instinct)

time and attendance are the easiest way they can trip you up, so save your annual leave, and don't take any sick leave unless you can bring in a doctors note. even tardiness will not go un-noticed.