He is on the right track, but I think that sometimes he is a little light on the numbers work.
So I have been working at grunting out hard number charts to figure out the path we will be taking.
Here is number one....The production of US conventional oil prior to fracking
Will be posting more in the next little while. I will also be dressing them up (gotta add attributions: FYI, the data is from EIA.