This comes out when spring gets serious
High clouds today with a good percentage of blue. Barometer @30 and Temp in the mid-fifties, Air is still.
I think that I am coming to the realization that, like all good ‘Murcans I want things tidied up within a period of time roughly equivalent to the length of two or three of the news cycles that I grew up with. Now, since I am old, the news cycle for me is the length of time between publication of the Atlantic back in the day when it wasn’t a screechy, self-indulgent, journal of posturing. So I cling to the oft-disproved idea that three months of attention to a problem is how things should work…….sigh.
I have been alive through five direct participations (wars and embargoes) and a couple of efforts where the opposition was teeny tiny and things worked out. The big ones always took time and left a mark. Over the years the sad little profession of history twists the periods into simplistic morality plays that best suit the folks who paid the price using other people's money.
So I am figuring that the whole dustup in Ukraine has a while to go. Now that I said this out loud there is a solid chance that it will end tomorrow, but my money is on two years (minimum) to go. That time will be spent rationalizing the inevitable retreat and making certain that the Eurotrash knows that we don’t in fact have their backs.
We will start developing the strategies for China in a serious way after that. But remember the strategy will be a financial strategy which will choose the weapons and strategy that will best profit the arms manufacturers, they will have nothing to do with actual needs of the upcoming conflict and how to defeat the opponent.